Maxine Waters’ commanding position in the CA-43 race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+27 and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent. As a longtime representative first elected in 1990, Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 63.8 percent of the vote against Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales and other Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited challenger resources. Late shifts could still arise from unusually high national Republican turnout, unforeseen candidate developments, or major changes in voter mobilization patterns within South Los Angeles and South Bay communities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-43 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-43 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$31,830 Vol.
$31,830 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Maxine Waters (D)
95%
Cristian Morales (R)
3%
$31,830 Vol.
$31,830 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Maxine Waters (D)
$10,935 Vol.
95%
Cristian Morales (R)
$20,895 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters’ commanding position in the CA-43 race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+27 and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent. As a longtime representative first elected in 1990, Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 63.8 percent of the vote against Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales and other Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited challenger resources. Late shifts could still arise from unusually high national Republican turnout, unforeseen candidate developments, or major changes in voter mobilization patterns within South Los Angeles and South Bay communities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$31,830Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters’ commanding position in the CA-43 race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+27 and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent. As a longtime representative first elected in 1990, Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 63.8 percent of the vote against Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales and other Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited challenger resources. Late shifts could still arise from unusually high national Republican turnout, unforeseen candidate developments, or major changes in voter mobilization patterns within South Los Angeles and South Bay communities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,830Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Maxine Waters’ commanding position in the CA-43 race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+27 and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent. As a longtime representative first elected in 1990, Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 63.8 percent of the vote against Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales and other Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited challenger resources. Late shifts could still arise from unusually high national Republican turnout, unforeseen candidate developments, or major changes in voter mobilization patterns within South Los Angeles and South Bay communities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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