US and Iranian negotiators established a 60-day roadmap in June 2026 during high-level talks in Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, following an interim memorandum of understanding that halted recent hostilities and addressed the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon ceasefire. Technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and dispute resolution continued afterward, with US officials including Vice President JD Vance and envoys participating alongside Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Conflicting public statements on nuclear inspections and implementation have persisted, while scheduled follow-up meetings in Switzerland were noted for late June. These diplomatic channels and the August deadline for a final accord remain the primary drivers shaping expectations for additional rounds of engagement through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$433,473 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. Vance
24%
Steve Witkoff
22%
Jared Kushner
20%
Abbas Araghchi
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20%
Nick Stewart
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Kazem Gharibabadi
16%
Ishaq Dar
16%
Mohammed bin Salman
12%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
11%
Rafael Grossi
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Donald Trump
6%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
$433,473 Vol.
J.D. Vance
$28,103 Vol.
24%
Steve Witkoff
$31,526 Vol.
22%
Jared Kushner
$30,919 Vol.
20%
Abbas Araghchi
$18,671 Vol.
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$21,465 Vol.
20%
Nick Stewart
$12,950 Vol.
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 Vol.
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$31,079 Vol.
17%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$19,584 Vol.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$23,518 Vol.
16%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5,526 Vol.
12%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$40,181 Vol.
11%
Rafael Grossi
$36,253 Vol.
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$24,252 Vol.
10%
Marco Rubio
$13,764 Vol.
7%
Esmail Qaani
$11,490 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump
$9,229 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$20,123 Vol.
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
$14,361 Vol.
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$23,208 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US and Iranian negotiators established a 60-day roadmap in June 2026 during high-level talks in Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, following an interim memorandum of understanding that halted recent hostilities and addressed the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon ceasefire. Technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and dispute resolution continued afterward, with US officials including Vice President JD Vance and envoys participating alongside Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Conflicting public statements on nuclear inspections and implementation have persisted, while scheduled follow-up meetings in Switzerland were noted for late June. These diplomatic channels and the August deadline for a final accord remain the primary drivers shaping expectations for additional rounds of engagement through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$433,473End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US and Iranian negotiators established a 60-day roadmap in June 2026 during high-level talks in Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, following an interim memorandum of understanding that halted recent hostilities and addressed the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon ceasefire. Technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and dispute resolution continued afterward, with US officials including Vice President JD Vance and envoys participating alongside Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Conflicting public statements on nuclear inspections and implementation have persisted, while scheduled follow-up meetings in Switzerland were noted for late June. These diplomatic channels and the August deadline for a final accord remain the primary drivers shaping expectations for additional rounds of engagement through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$433,473End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian negotiators established a 60-day roadmap in June 2026 during high-level talks in Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, following an interim memorandum of understanding that halted recent hostilities and addressed the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon ceasefire. Technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and dispute resolution continued afterward, with US officials including Vice President JD Vance and envoys participating alongside Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Conflicting public statements on nuclear inspections and implementation have persisted, while scheduled follow-up meetings in Switzerland were noted for late June. These diplomatic channels and the August deadline for a final accord remain the primary drivers shaping expectations for additional rounds of engagement through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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