Recent polling averages project PP and Vox combined at 196–200 seats in the 350-seat Congress ahead of the November 29 snap election, comfortably above the 176-seat absolute majority threshold, while the PSOE-led left bloc trails well behind at roughly 140–150 seats. This positioning reflects steady right-bloc support since the early-October election call, with Vox gains offsetting modest PP softening and sustaining the joint total. PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo has confirmed ongoing coordination talks with Vox focused on Senate lists and post-election governance, building on their existing regional coalitions. The implied probability aligns with the consistent polling margin and limited time for major shifts before voting.