Oura’s recent public S-1 filing, showing 74% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, alongside five million paid members, 85% retention, and a shift to net profitability, anchors trader consensus around implied probabilities of 42% for a $20 billion-plus closing market cap and 25.5% for $17.5–20 billion. These figures exceed the company’s $11 billion October 2025 Series E valuation and align with targets near $2 billion in 2026 revenue plus a planned September Nasdaq listing seeking up to $3 billion in proceeds. A constructive IPO environment and recurring membership margins near 89% support elevated pricing, though final first-day trading levels remain subject to market conditions and execution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20B+ 42%
$17.5B–$20B 25%
$15B–$17.5B 22%
$12.5B–$15B 7%
$432,361 Vol.
$432,361 Vol.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
4%
$12.5B–$15B
7%
$15B–$17.5B
22%
$17.5B–$20B
25%
$20B+
42%
No IPO before January 2027
<1%
$20B+ 42%
$17.5B–$20B 25%
$15B–$17.5B 22%
$12.5B–$15B 7%
$432,361 Vol.
$432,361 Vol.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
4%
$12.5B–$15B
7%
$15B–$17.5B
22%
$17.5B–$20B
25%
$20B+
42%
No IPO before January 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s recent public S-1 filing, showing 74% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, alongside five million paid members, 85% retention, and a shift to net profitability, anchors trader consensus around implied probabilities of 42% for a $20 billion-plus closing market cap and 25.5% for $17.5–20 billion. These figures exceed the company’s $11 billion October 2025 Series E valuation and align with targets near $2 billion in 2026 revenue plus a planned September Nasdaq listing seeking up to $3 billion in proceeds. A constructive IPO environment and recurring membership margins near 89% support elevated pricing, though final first-day trading levels remain subject to market conditions and execution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions