MrBeast’s most recent long-form upload, the charity-focused “I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor” released September 19, sits at roughly 39 million views after two days and is tracking toward the 60-70 million range in its first full week. Traders have priced this outcome at 70.5 percent implied probability because the creator himself flagged the $10 million passion project—developed over years—as unlikely to match the performance of his typical high-energy challenges. Recent comparable long videos such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “I Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth” reached over 100 million total views, yet those featured more conventional spectacle formats. The current market therefore reflects both the video’s serious tone and MrBeast’s explicit caution about audience reception.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
60-70M 70.5%
70-80M 26%
50-60M 4.0%
80-90M 1.7%
$108,623 Vol.
$108,623 Vol.
Sep 26, 2026
<50M
1%
50-60M
4%
60-70M
71%
70-80M
26%
80-90M
2%
90-100M
<1%
100M+
<1%
60-70M 70.5%
70-80M 26%
50-60M 4.0%
80-90M 1.7%
$108,623 Vol.
$108,623 Vol.
Sep 26, 2026
<50M
$11,384 Vol.
1%
50-60M
$23,824 Vol.
4%
60-70M
$17,788 Vol.
71%
70-80M
$15,930 Vol.
26%
80-90M
$20,132 Vol.
2%
90-100M
$11,108 Vol.
<1%
100M+
$8,473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s most recent long-form upload, the charity-focused “I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor” released September 19, sits at roughly 39 million views after two days and is tracking toward the 60-70 million range in its first full week. Traders have priced this outcome at 70.5 percent implied probability because the creator himself flagged the $10 million passion project—developed over years—as unlikely to match the performance of his typical high-energy challenges. Recent comparable long videos such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “I Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth” reached over 100 million total views, yet those featured more conventional spectacle formats. The current market therefore reflects both the video’s serious tone and MrBeast’s explicit caution about audience reception.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$108,623End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s most recent long-form upload, the charity-focused “I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor” released September 19, sits at roughly 39 million views after two days and is tracking toward the 60-70 million range in its first full week. Traders have priced this outcome at 70.5 percent implied probability because the creator himself flagged the $10 million passion project—developed over years—as unlikely to match the performance of his typical high-energy challenges. Recent comparable long videos such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “I Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth” reached over 100 million total views, yet those featured more conventional spectacle formats. The current market therefore reflects both the video’s serious tone and MrBeast’s explicit caution about audience reception.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$108,623End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s most recent long-form upload, the charity-focused “I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor” released September 19, sits at roughly 39 million views after two days and is tracking toward the 60-70 million range in its first full week. Traders have priced this outcome at 70.5 percent implied probability because the creator himself flagged the $10 million passion project—developed over years—as unlikely to match the performance of his typical high-energy challenges. Recent comparable long videos such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “I Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth” reached over 100 million total views, yet those featured more conventional spectacle formats. The current market therefore reflects both the video’s serious tone and MrBeast’s explicit caution about audience reception.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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