The NJ-12 district's consistent Democratic performance, including a 14.5-point margin for the party's 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring Adam Hamawy at 94.5%. The open seat created by Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement drew a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary, which Hamawy won with roughly 28% of the vote after raising over $1.5 million and securing endorsements from progressive groups. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but trails sharply in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$24,371 Vol.
$24,371 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
5%
$24,371 Vol.
$24,371 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
$15,801 Vol.
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
$8,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NJ-12 district's consistent Democratic performance, including a 14.5-point margin for the party's 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring Adam Hamawy at 94.5%. The open seat created by Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement drew a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary, which Hamawy won with roughly 28% of the vote after raising over $1.5 million and securing endorsements from progressive groups. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but trails sharply in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,371End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NJ-12 district's consistent Democratic performance, including a 14.5-point margin for the party's 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring Adam Hamawy at 94.5%. The open seat created by Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement drew a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary, which Hamawy won with roughly 28% of the vote after raising over $1.5 million and securing endorsements from progressive groups. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but trails sharply in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,371End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NJ-12 district's consistent Democratic performance, including a 14.5-point margin for the party's 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring Adam Hamawy at 94.5%. The open seat created by Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement drew a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary, which Hamawy won with roughly 28% of the vote after raising over $1.5 million and securing endorsements from progressive groups. Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed but trails sharply in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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