OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol flagship launched publicly on July 9, 2026, after a late-June limited preview was delayed by U.S. government security reviews under the Trump administration’s AI cybersecurity order. The model family introduced stronger agentic coding, cybersecurity, and scientific capabilities than GPT-5.5, with Sol positioned as the top-tier “workhorse” variant. Trader sentiment now centers on the September 3 release of successor GPT-6 Astra, which saturates key benchmarks in computer use and math but carries a new name rather than advancing the Sol line to 5.7+. Competitive pressure from Anthropic models, ongoing regulatory scrutiny, and OpenAI’s pattern of iterative family releases every few months shape expectations for the next Sol threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 30
80%
October 31
88%
November 30
98%
$7,714 Vol.
September 30
80%
October 31
88%
November 30
98%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol flagship launched publicly on July 9, 2026, after a late-June limited preview was delayed by U.S. government security reviews under the Trump administration’s AI cybersecurity order. The model family introduced stronger agentic coding, cybersecurity, and scientific capabilities than GPT-5.5, with Sol positioned as the top-tier “workhorse” variant. Trader sentiment now centers on the September 3 release of successor GPT-6 Astra, which saturates key benchmarks in computer use and math but carries a new name rather than advancing the Sol line to 5.7+. Competitive pressure from Anthropic models, ongoing regulatory scrutiny, and OpenAI’s pattern of iterative family releases every few months shape expectations for the next Sol threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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