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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader
Sports·CFB (All)

NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader
Sports·CFB (All)

NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

Jaylen Raynor 99%

Bear Bachmeier 99%

Cole Ballard 99%

DJ Lagway 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Jaylen Raynor 99%

Bear Bachmeier 99%

Cole Ballard 99%

DJ Lagway 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Jaylen Raynor

$58 Vol.

99%

Bear Bachmeier

$0 Vol.

99%

Cole Ballard

$45 Vol.

99%

DJ Lagway

$45 Vol.

98%

Michael Hawkins Jr.

$45 Vol.

98%

Devon Dampier

$45 Vol.

97%

Conner Weigman

$45 Vol.

96%

Alonza Barnett III

$45 Vol.

96%

Drew Mestemaker

$58 Vol.

96%

Noah Fifita

$58 Vol.

96%

Cutter Boley

$45 Vol.

96%

Scotty Fox Jr.

$58 Vol.

96%

JC French IV

$58 Vol.

95%

Will Hammond

$58 Vol.

95%

Julian Lewis

$45 Vol.

95%

Jaden Craig

$45 Vol.

94%

Avery Johnson

$58 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched early in the season because a wide-open conference features roughly a dozen quarterbacks with comparable preseason pedigrees, supporting casts, and offensive opportunities. Returning standouts such as Noah Fifita and Bear Bachmeier share billing with transfers like Drew Mestemaker, Devon Dampier, DJ Lagway, and Alonza Barnett III, while others including Cutter Boley, Avery Johnson, and Will Hammond have posted early volume in spread or dual-threat schemes. Three weeks of results show distributed production rather than a dominant leader, with injuries, depth-chart battles, and matchup variance still likely to reshape the leaderboard through conference play. Trader consensus reflects this parity across experienced returners and portal additions.

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$811
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched early in the season because a wide-open conference features roughly a dozen quarterbacks with comparable preseason pedigrees, supporting casts, and offensive opportunities. Returning standouts such as Noah Fifita and Bear Bachmeier share billing with transfers like Drew Mestemaker, Devon Dampier, DJ Lagway, and Alonza Barnett III, while others including Cutter Boley, Avery Johnson, and Will Hammond have posted early volume in spread or dual-threat schemes. Three weeks of results show distributed production rather than a dominant leader, with injuries, depth-chart battles, and matchup variance still likely to reshape the leaderboard through conference play. Trader consensus reflects this parity across experienced returners and portal additions.

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$811
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jaylen Raynor" at 50%, followed by "Bear Bachmeier" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" is "Jaylen Raynor" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bear Bachmeier" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.