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icon for NCAA Football: Team Win Totals
Sports·NCAAF

NCAA Football: Team Win Totals

icon for NCAA Football: Team Win Totals
Sports·NCAAF

NCAA Football: Team Win Totals

$22,514 Vol.

Polymarket

$22,514 Vol.

Polymarket

Cincinnati 5.5+

$3,594 Vol.

74%

North Carolina 4.5+

$272 Vol.

70%

Boise State 7.5+

$295 Vol.

68%

Colorado State 3.5+

$283 Vol.

68%

Oregon State 3.5+

$400 Vol.

67%

Virginia 7.5+

$572 Vol.

67%

Texas Tech 10.5+

$40 Vol.

64%

Georgia 9.5+

$208 Vol.

64%

Miami FL 10.5+

$396 Vol.

63%

Ole Miss 7.5+

$132 Vol.

62%

West Virginia 5.5+

$0 Vol.

61%

Oklahoma 7.5+

$106 Vol.

60%

Virginia Tech 6.5+

$41 Vol.

60%

Stanford 3.5+

$487 Vol.

59%

Utah 8.5+

$449 Vol.

59%

SMU 8.5+

$103 Vol.

57%

UCF 5.5+

$0 Vol.

57%

BYU 8.5+

$20 Vol.

57%

UCLA 6.5+

$452 Vol.

57%

Kentucky 4.5+

$84 Vol.

56%

Wisconsin 6.5+

$255 Vol.

56%

Arkansas 3.5+

$32 Vol.

56%

Duke 5.5+

$0 Vol.

56%

Kansas 5.5+

$198 Vol.

56%

Fresno State 6.5+

$0 Vol.

56%

Iowa 7.5+

$0 Vol.

55%

Iowa State 4.5+

$0 Vol.

55%

Colorado 4.5+

$582 Vol.

55%

LSU 8.5+

$431 Vol.

55%

Pittsburgh 7.5+

$0 Vol.

55%

Wake Forest 5.5+

$0 Vol.

55%

Tennessee 7.5+

$0 Vol.

54%

Alabama 8.5+

$7 Vol.

53%

Mississippi State 4.5+

$0 Vol.

53%

Texas State 6.5+

$590 Vol.

53%

Kansas State 8.5+

$717 Vol.

53%

Syracuse 4.5+

$50 Vol.

52%

Arizona State 6.5+

$0 Vol.

52%

Vanderbilt 5.5+

$775 Vol.

51%

Missouri 6.5+

$0 Vol.

51%

Maryland 5.5+

$300 Vol.

50%

Auburn 6.5+

$96 Vol.

50%

Indiana 10.5+

$130 Vol.

48%

Texas A&M 8.5+

$25 Vol.

48%

Northwestern 5.5+

$80 Vol.

48%

Nebraska 6.5+

$0 Vol.

47%

Michigan State 4.5+

$1,696 Vol.

47%

Arizona 7.5+

$6 Vol.

46%

South Carolina 6.5+

$20 Vol.

46%

Penn State 9.5+

$0 Vol.

46%

San Diego State 7.5+

$0 Vol.

46%

USC 8.5+

$100 Vol.

45%

Louisville 8.5+

$0 Vol.

45%

Houston 8.5+

$348 Vol.

44%

Minnesota 6.5+

$63 Vol.

44%

Oregon 10.5+

$0 Vol.

44%

Texas 9.5+

$51 Vol.

44%

Washington State 5.5+

$0 Vol.

43%

Illinois 7.5+

$141 Vol.

42%

Florida 7.5+

$50 Vol.

42%

Boston College 3.5+

$412 Vol.

41%

California 6.5+

$392 Vol.

41%

Ohio State 10.5+

$1,091 Vol.

40%

Washington 8.5+

$814 Vol.

40%

Baylor 6.5+

$721 Vol.

40%

Florida State 6.5+

$41 Vol.

38%

Clemson 7.5+

$322 Vol.

36%

NC State 7.5+

$40 Vol.

36%

Purdue 3.5+

$262 Vol.

34%

Rutgers 4.5+

$431 Vol.

33%

Notre Dame 11.5+

$121 Vol.

32%

Georgia Tech 6.5+

$494 Vol.

31%

TCU 7.5+

$1,104 Vol.

26%

Utah State 4.5+

$514 Vol.

25%

Oklahoma State 6.5+

$470 Vol.

24%

Michigan 8.5+

$607 Vol.

19%

This market will Resolve to "Yes" if the listed team goes over their listed win total. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early season results and roster turnover via the transfer portal and NIL spending are shaping trader views on 2026 NCAA Football win totals, with preseason lines like Notre Dame at 11.5 and several programs at 10.5 reflecting expectations for top contenders. Defending champion Indiana, along with Ohio State, Oregon, Miami, and Texas Tech, face loaded schedules that include tough conference slates and nonconference tests, while SP+ efficiency metrics updated in early September highlight offensive and defensive adjustments after Week 1. Factors such as quarterback stability, returning production percentages, coaching scheme changes, and the expanded College Football Playoff structure continue to influence implied probabilities, as do injury reports and home/away splits that can swing totals by multiple wins. Recent form and strength-of-schedule rankings provide the clearest near-term signals for adjustments.

This market will Resolve to "Yes" if the listed team goes over their listed win total. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.

If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.

The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will Resolve to "Yes" if the listed team goes over their listed win total. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,514
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will Resolve to "Yes" if the listed team goes over their listed win total. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early season results and roster turnover via the transfer portal and NIL spending are shaping trader views on 2026 NCAA Football win totals, with preseason lines like Notre Dame at 11.5 and several programs at 10.5 reflecting expectations for top contenders. Defending champion Indiana, along with Ohio State, Oregon, Miami, and Texas Tech, face loaded schedules that include tough conference slates and nonconference tests, while SP+ efficiency metrics updated in early September highlight offensive and defensive adjustments after Week 1. Factors such as quarterback stability, returning production percentages, coaching scheme changes, and the expanded College Football Playoff structure continue to influence implied probabilities, as do injury reports and home/away splits that can swing totals by multiple wins. Recent form and strength-of-schedule rankings provide the clearest near-term signals for adjustments.

This market will Resolve to "Yes" if the listed team goes over their listed win total. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.

If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.

The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will Resolve to "Yes" if the listed team goes over their listed win total. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,514
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Will LSU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?

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Will UCLA have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: Team Win Totals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 76+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cincinnati 5.5+" at 74%, followed by "North Carolina 4.5+" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Football: Team Win Totals" has generated $22.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Football: Team Win Totals," browse the 76+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: Team Win Totals" is "Cincinnati 5.5+" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "North Carolina 4.5+" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: Team Win Totals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.