United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong regional administrative infrastructure under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, and advantages from the mixed electoral system that favors established parties in single-member districts. The concurrent national parliamentary vote on 18–20 September 2026, conducted in a tightly managed political environment with limited opposition participation, has reinforced trader expectations of continued dominance. Systemic factors such as organizational capacity and ballot positioning further support this consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major disruptions in turnout patterns, unforeseen legal challenges to results, or significant shifts in the broader geopolitical context affecting regional sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 98.0%
CPRF <1%
New People <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
$6,156 Vol.
$6,156 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
98%
CPRF
<1%
New People
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 98.0%
CPRF <1%
New People <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
$6,156 Vol.
$6,156 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$1,497 Vol.
98%
CPRF
$390 Vol.
<1%
New People
$912 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$332 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$647 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$395 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$640 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$401 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$415 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$526 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong regional administrative infrastructure under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, and advantages from the mixed electoral system that favors established parties in single-member districts. The concurrent national parliamentary vote on 18–20 September 2026, conducted in a tightly managed political environment with limited opposition participation, has reinforced trader expectations of continued dominance. Systemic factors such as organizational capacity and ballot positioning further support this consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major disruptions in turnout patterns, unforeseen legal challenges to results, or significant shifts in the broader geopolitical context affecting regional sentiment.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$6,156End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong regional administrative infrastructure under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, and advantages from the mixed electoral system that favors established parties in single-member districts. The concurrent national parliamentary vote on 18–20 September 2026, conducted in a tightly managed political environment with limited opposition participation, has reinforced trader expectations of continued dominance. Systemic factors such as organizational capacity and ballot positioning further support this consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major disruptions in turnout patterns, unforeseen legal challenges to results, or significant shifts in the broader geopolitical context affecting regional sentiment.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$6,156End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, strong regional administrative infrastructure under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, and advantages from the mixed electoral system that favors established parties in single-member districts. The concurrent national parliamentary vote on 18–20 September 2026, conducted in a tightly managed political environment with limited opposition participation, has reinforced trader expectations of continued dominance. Systemic factors such as organizational capacity and ballot positioning further support this consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major disruptions in turnout patterns, unforeseen legal challenges to results, or significant shifts in the broader geopolitical context affecting regional sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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