Sal Stewart’s commanding lead in the NL Rookie of the Year market stems from his historic rookie offensive output for the Cincinnati Reds, including 31 home runs and over 105 RBIs through early September while batting around .265 with an .812 OPS. The 22-year-old first baseman became the first Reds rookie to reach the 30-homer, 100-RBI threshold and leads all major-league rookies in those categories, backed by everyday durability across 140-plus games and an All-Star selection. A late wrist injury that sidelined Cardinals infielder JJ Wetherholt, previously the closest challenger, further solidified trader consensus around Stewart. Mets pitcher Nolan McLean and outfielder Carson Benge trail well behind on lower volume and impact. While advanced metrics show some defensive shortcomings and other rookies post higher WAR, traditional counting stats and historical precedent for similar seasons make a late overtake unlikely absent a dramatic September surge by a contender.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSal Stewart 88%
Nolan McLean 7.5%
JJ Wetherholt 3.1%
Carson Benge 1.0%
$1,015,653 Vol.
$1,015,653 Vol.
Sal Stewart
88%
Nolan McLean
8%
JJ Wetherholt
3%
Carson Benge
1%
Bryce Eldridge
1%
Didier Fuentes
<1%
Bubba Chandler
<1%
Owen Caissie
<1%
Justin Crawford
<1%
Rhett Lowder
<1%
Ryan Waldschmidt
<1%
Robby Snelling
<1%
TJ Rumfield
<1%
A.J. Ewing
<1%
Konnor Griffin
<1%
Logan Henderson
<1%
Jonah Tong
<1%
Charlie Condon
<1%
Zac Veen
<1%
Moises Ballesteros
<1%
Andrew Painter
<1%
Jett Williams
<1%
Esmerlyn Valdez
<1%
Sal Stewart 88%
Nolan McLean 7.5%
JJ Wetherholt 3.1%
Carson Benge 1.0%
$1,015,653 Vol.
$1,015,653 Vol.
Sal Stewart
88%
Nolan McLean
8%
JJ Wetherholt
3%
Carson Benge
1%
Bryce Eldridge
1%
Didier Fuentes
<1%
Bubba Chandler
<1%
Owen Caissie
<1%
Justin Crawford
<1%
Rhett Lowder
<1%
Ryan Waldschmidt
<1%
Robby Snelling
<1%
TJ Rumfield
<1%
A.J. Ewing
<1%
Konnor Griffin
<1%
Logan Henderson
<1%
Jonah Tong
<1%
Charlie Condon
<1%
Zac Veen
<1%
Moises Ballesteros
<1%
Andrew Painter
<1%
Jett Williams
<1%
Esmerlyn Valdez
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Sal Stewart’s commanding lead in the NL Rookie of the Year market stems from his historic rookie offensive output for the Cincinnati Reds, including 31 home runs and over 105 RBIs through early September while batting around .265 with an .812 OPS. The 22-year-old first baseman became the first Reds rookie to reach the 30-homer, 100-RBI threshold and leads all major-league rookies in those categories, backed by everyday durability across 140-plus games and an All-Star selection. A late wrist injury that sidelined Cardinals infielder JJ Wetherholt, previously the closest challenger, further solidified trader consensus around Stewart. Mets pitcher Nolan McLean and outfielder Carson Benge trail well behind on lower volume and impact. While advanced metrics show some defensive shortcomings and other rookies post higher WAR, traditional counting stats and historical precedent for similar seasons make a late overtake unlikely absent a dramatic September surge by a contender.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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