Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.6–1.7 trillion amid a sharp rally triggered by the September 9 launch of Muse, its personal AI agent capable of complex tasks across apps and third-party services. Traders view this as a potential entry into a large consumer AI agent market, supported by Meta’s vast user base and data advantages, while a recent $18 billion youth-safety settlement has removed a key overhang. Robust advertising revenue growth continues to fund heavy AI infrastructure spending, yet the stock’s path to the $2.25 trillion+ bracket or sustained levels above $2 trillion by end-October hinges on the October 28 earnings report and any further Muse monetization signals. The tight spread between the leading $1.50–1.75 trillion and $2.25 trillion+ outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether near-term AI momentum can overcome capex pressures and valuation multiples in the compressed timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.50-$1.75T 40%
$1.75-$2.00T 27%
$2.25T+ 24.8%
$1.25-$1.50T 21%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
4%
$1.00-$1.25T
6%
$1.25-$1.50T
21%
$1.50-$1.75T
29%
$1.75-$2.00T
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
4%
$2.25T+
25%
$1.50-$1.75T 40%
$1.75-$2.00T 27%
$2.25T+ 24.8%
$1.25-$1.50T 21%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$165 Vol.
4%
$1.00-$1.25T
$752 Vol.
6%
$1.25-$1.50T
$30 Vol.
21%
$1.50-$1.75T
$860 Vol.
29%
$1.75-$2.00T
$1,276 Vol.
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
$162 Vol.
4%
$2.25T+
$15 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.6–1.7 trillion amid a sharp rally triggered by the September 9 launch of Muse, its personal AI agent capable of complex tasks across apps and third-party services. Traders view this as a potential entry into a large consumer AI agent market, supported by Meta’s vast user base and data advantages, while a recent $18 billion youth-safety settlement has removed a key overhang. Robust advertising revenue growth continues to fund heavy AI infrastructure spending, yet the stock’s path to the $2.25 trillion+ bracket or sustained levels above $2 trillion by end-October hinges on the October 28 earnings report and any further Muse monetization signals. The tight spread between the leading $1.50–1.75 trillion and $2.25 trillion+ outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether near-term AI momentum can overcome capex pressures and valuation multiples in the compressed timeframe.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,259End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.6–1.7 trillion amid a sharp rally triggered by the September 9 launch of Muse, its personal AI agent capable of complex tasks across apps and third-party services. Traders view this as a potential entry into a large consumer AI agent market, supported by Meta’s vast user base and data advantages, while a recent $18 billion youth-safety settlement has removed a key overhang. Robust advertising revenue growth continues to fund heavy AI infrastructure spending, yet the stock’s path to the $2.25 trillion+ bracket or sustained levels above $2 trillion by end-October hinges on the October 28 earnings report and any further Muse monetization signals. The tight spread between the leading $1.50–1.75 trillion and $2.25 trillion+ outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether near-term AI momentum can overcome capex pressures and valuation multiples in the compressed timeframe.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$3,259End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.6–1.7 trillion amid a sharp rally triggered by the September 9 launch of Muse, its personal AI agent capable of complex tasks across apps and third-party services. Traders view this as a potential entry into a large consumer AI agent market, supported by Meta’s vast user base and data advantages, while a recent $18 billion youth-safety settlement has removed a key overhang. Robust advertising revenue growth continues to fund heavy AI infrastructure spending, yet the stock’s path to the $2.25 trillion+ bracket or sustained levels above $2 trillion by end-October hinges on the October 28 earnings report and any further Muse monetization signals. The tight spread between the leading $1.50–1.75 trillion and $2.25 trillion+ outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether near-term AI momentum can overcome capex pressures and valuation multiples in the compressed timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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