Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree seeks a tenth term in Maine’s 1st congressional district, a seat she has held since 2008 in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary, while Ronald C. Russell secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory. Historical election margins, the district’s coastal and southern Maine demographics including Portland, and the absence of major recent polling shifts or disruptive events have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$45,006 Vol.
$45,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
4%
$45,006 Vol.
$45,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
$30,105 Vol.
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
$14,900 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree seeks a tenth term in Maine’s 1st congressional district, a seat she has held since 2008 in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary, while Ronald C. Russell secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory. Historical election margins, the district’s coastal and southern Maine demographics including Portland, and the absence of major recent polling shifts or disruptive events have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,006End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree seeks a tenth term in Maine’s 1st congressional district, a seat she has held since 2008 in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary, while Ronald C. Russell secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory. Historical election margins, the district’s coastal and southern Maine demographics including Portland, and the absence of major recent polling shifts or disruptive events have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,006End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree seeks a tenth term in Maine’s 1st congressional district, a seat she has held since 2008 in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary, while Ronald C. Russell secured the Republican nomination after a narrow primary victory. Historical election margins, the district’s coastal and southern Maine demographics including Portland, and the absence of major recent polling shifts or disruptive events have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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