Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, an open-seat contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Janet Mills, with recent polling aggregates showing her at roughly 50% support against Republican nominee Bobby Charles at 38% and independent Rick Bennett near 8%. This positioning stems from Pingree’s primary victory through ranked-choice tabulation, her prior service as Maine House speaker, and consistent advantages among independents and in battleground metrics. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Charles, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state, secured his nomination in a crowded Republican primary but trails amid voter preferences favoring Democratic continuity on state issues. The independent Bennett candidacy further fragments Republican-leaning support. Trader consensus at these levels reflects sustained polling trends since the June primaries, though shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, Bennett’s vote share, turnout patterns, or national political events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$34,641 Vol.
$34,641 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Hannah Pingree (D)
96%
Robert Charles (R)
3%
$34,641 Vol.
$34,641 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Hannah Pingree (D)
$26,745 Vol.
96%
Robert Charles (R)
$7,896 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, an open-seat contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Janet Mills, with recent polling aggregates showing her at roughly 50% support against Republican nominee Bobby Charles at 38% and independent Rick Bennett near 8%. This positioning stems from Pingree’s primary victory through ranked-choice tabulation, her prior service as Maine House speaker, and consistent advantages among independents and in battleground metrics. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Charles, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state, secured his nomination in a crowded Republican primary but trails amid voter preferences favoring Democratic continuity on state issues. The independent Bennett candidacy further fragments Republican-leaning support. Trader consensus at these levels reflects sustained polling trends since the June primaries, though shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, Bennett’s vote share, turnout patterns, or national political events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$34,641End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, an open-seat contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Janet Mills, with recent polling aggregates showing her at roughly 50% support against Republican nominee Bobby Charles at 38% and independent Rick Bennett near 8%. This positioning stems from Pingree’s primary victory through ranked-choice tabulation, her prior service as Maine House speaker, and consistent advantages among independents and in battleground metrics. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Charles, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state, secured his nomination in a crowded Republican primary but trails amid voter preferences favoring Democratic continuity on state issues. The independent Bennett candidacy further fragments Republican-leaning support. Trader consensus at these levels reflects sustained polling trends since the June primaries, though shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, Bennett’s vote share, turnout patterns, or national political events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,641End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, an open-seat contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Janet Mills, with recent polling aggregates showing her at roughly 50% support against Republican nominee Bobby Charles at 38% and independent Rick Bennett near 8%. This positioning stems from Pingree’s primary victory through ranked-choice tabulation, her prior service as Maine House speaker, and consistent advantages among independents and in battleground metrics. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Charles, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state, secured his nomination in a crowded Republican primary but trails amid voter preferences favoring Democratic continuity on state issues. The independent Bennett candidacy further fragments Republican-leaning support. Trader consensus at these levels reflects sustained polling trends since the June primaries, though shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, Bennett’s vote share, turnout patterns, or national political events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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