**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited impeachment risk before 2027 due to structural barriers in the National Assembly.** The ruling Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 seats, far short of the two-thirds majority (200 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal over paused pre-presidency criminal cases collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path forward. Recent partisan clashes center on cabinet nominations, constitutional amendment proposals for a two-term system, and judicial issues, yet the opposition People Power Party lacks the votes or cross-aisle support to advance removal proceedings. Lee has publicly affirmed his term remains constitutionally limited, and trader consensus reflects these institutional constraints rather than any acute political crisis.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% chance
$21,744 Vol.
$21,744 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$21,744 Vol.
$21,744 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited impeachment risk before 2027 due to structural barriers in the National Assembly.** The ruling Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 seats, far short of the two-thirds majority (200 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal over paused pre-presidency criminal cases collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path forward. Recent partisan clashes center on cabinet nominations, constitutional amendment proposals for a two-term system, and judicial issues, yet the opposition People Power Party lacks the votes or cross-aisle support to advance removal proceedings. Lee has publicly affirmed his term remains constitutionally limited, and trader consensus reflects these institutional constraints rather than any acute political crisis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$21,744End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited impeachment risk before 2027 due to structural barriers in the National Assembly.** The ruling Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 seats, far short of the two-thirds majority (200 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal over paused pre-presidency criminal cases collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path forward. Recent partisan clashes center on cabinet nominations, constitutional amendment proposals for a two-term system, and judicial issues, yet the opposition People Power Party lacks the votes or cross-aisle support to advance removal proceedings. Lee has publicly affirmed his term remains constitutionally limited, and trader consensus reflects these institutional constraints rather than any acute political crisis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,744End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited impeachment risk before 2027 due to structural barriers in the National Assembly.** The ruling Democratic Party holds 161 of 300 seats, far short of the two-thirds majority (200 votes) required to pass an impeachment motion. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal over paused pre-presidency criminal cases collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path forward. Recent partisan clashes center on cabinet nominations, constitutional amendment proposals for a two-term system, and judicial issues, yet the opposition People Power Party lacks the votes or cross-aisle support to advance removal proceedings. Lee has publicly affirmed his term remains constitutionally limited, and trader consensus reflects these institutional constraints rather than any acute political crisis.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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