Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading position in trader consensus following his decisive May 2026 primary victory, where he secured over 65 percent of votes against multiple rivals including Abdulfatai Yahaya Seriki. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with formal INEC nomination in June and the August unveiling of 12-13 governorship candidates, reinforces his market standing ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) trails as the main opposition contender amid ongoing APC internal reconciliation efforts and opposition rebuilding. Zakari Mohammed and other minor-party candidates register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited statewide organizational strength or recent polling shifts. Campaigns officially open on September 9, 2026, with trader assessments centering on party structures, regional voting patterns across Kwara North, Central, and South, and the absence of major late disruptions to the APC ticket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSalihu Danladi 68%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 26%
Zakari Mohammed <1%
Ajibade Adekunle <1%
$10,572 Vol.
$10,572 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
68%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
26%
Zakari Mohammed
1%
Ajibade Adekunle
<1%
Salihu Danladi 68%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 26%
Zakari Mohammed <1%
Ajibade Adekunle <1%
$10,572 Vol.
$10,572 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
$6,032 Vol.
68%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
$3,914 Vol.
26%
Zakari Mohammed
$361 Vol.
1%
Ajibade Adekunle
$264 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading position in trader consensus following his decisive May 2026 primary victory, where he secured over 65 percent of votes against multiple rivals including Abdulfatai Yahaya Seriki. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with formal INEC nomination in June and the August unveiling of 12-13 governorship candidates, reinforces his market standing ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) trails as the main opposition contender amid ongoing APC internal reconciliation efforts and opposition rebuilding. Zakari Mohammed and other minor-party candidates register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited statewide organizational strength or recent polling shifts. Campaigns officially open on September 9, 2026, with trader assessments centering on party structures, regional voting patterns across Kwara North, Central, and South, and the absence of major late disruptions to the APC ticket.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$10,572End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading position in trader consensus following his decisive May 2026 primary victory, where he secured over 65 percent of votes against multiple rivals including Abdulfatai Yahaya Seriki. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with formal INEC nomination in June and the August unveiling of 12-13 governorship candidates, reinforces his market standing ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) trails as the main opposition contender amid ongoing APC internal reconciliation efforts and opposition rebuilding. Zakari Mohammed and other minor-party candidates register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited statewide organizational strength or recent polling shifts. Campaigns officially open on September 9, 2026, with trader assessments centering on party structures, regional voting patterns across Kwara North, Central, and South, and the absence of major late disruptions to the APC ticket.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$10,572End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the leading position in trader consensus following his decisive May 2026 primary victory, where he secured over 65 percent of votes against multiple rivals including Abdulfatai Yahaya Seriki. The APC's status as the ruling party, combined with formal INEC nomination in June and the August unveiling of 12-13 governorship candidates, reinforces his market standing ahead of the February 2027 election. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) trails as the main opposition contender amid ongoing APC internal reconciliation efforts and opposition rebuilding. Zakari Mohammed and other minor-party candidates register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited statewide organizational strength or recent polling shifts. Campaigns officially open on September 9, 2026, with trader assessments centering on party structures, regional voting patterns across Kwara North, Central, and South, and the absence of major late disruptions to the APC ticket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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