Kristi Noem's removal as Secretary of Homeland Security in March 2026 by President Trump, following Democratic impeachment articles introduced in January over alleged obstruction of Congress, public trust violations, and self-dealing tied to ICE operations and contracting, has driven trader consensus toward a "No" outcome at 96.4%. With Republicans controlling the House and no bipartisan support emerging for conviction, the articles stalled without advancing to a floor vote or Senate trial. As a former cabinet official by September 2026 with no current federal role subject to impeachment, further proceedings face structural barriers under the Constitution. Late developments such as new executive appointments or unforeseen scandals could theoretically reopen pathways, though historical patterns show limited success for such efforts without majority-party backing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
4% chance
$22,389 Vol.
$22,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
$22,389 Vol.
$22,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Kristi Noem's removal as Secretary of Homeland Security in March 2026 by President Trump, following Democratic impeachment articles introduced in January over alleged obstruction of Congress, public trust violations, and self-dealing tied to ICE operations and contracting, has driven trader consensus toward a "No" outcome at 96.4%. With Republicans controlling the House and no bipartisan support emerging for conviction, the articles stalled without advancing to a floor vote or Senate trial. As a former cabinet official by September 2026 with no current federal role subject to impeachment, further proceedings face structural barriers under the Constitution. Late developments such as new executive appointments or unforeseen scandals could theoretically reopen pathways, though historical patterns show limited success for such efforts without majority-party backing.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$22,389End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Kristi Noem's removal as Secretary of Homeland Security in March 2026 by President Trump, following Democratic impeachment articles introduced in January over alleged obstruction of Congress, public trust violations, and self-dealing tied to ICE operations and contracting, has driven trader consensus toward a "No" outcome at 96.4%. With Republicans controlling the House and no bipartisan support emerging for conviction, the articles stalled without advancing to a floor vote or Senate trial. As a former cabinet official by September 2026 with no current federal role subject to impeachment, further proceedings face structural barriers under the Constitution. Late developments such as new executive appointments or unforeseen scandals could theoretically reopen pathways, though historical patterns show limited success for such efforts without majority-party backing.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$22,389End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kristi Noem's removal as Secretary of Homeland Security in March 2026 by President Trump, following Democratic impeachment articles introduced in January over alleged obstruction of Congress, public trust violations, and self-dealing tied to ICE operations and contracting, has driven trader consensus toward a "No" outcome at 96.4%. With Republicans controlling the House and no bipartisan support emerging for conviction, the articles stalled without advancing to a floor vote or Senate trial. As a former cabinet official by September 2026 with no current federal role subject to impeachment, further proceedings face structural barriers under the Constitution. Late developments such as new executive appointments or unforeseen scandals could theoretically reopen pathways, though historical patterns show limited success for such efforts without majority-party backing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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