Jeffrey Epstein's death in August 2019 was ruled a suicide by the New York City medical examiner following autopsy and investigation, with consistent official records from federal authorities and no subsequent credible evidence of survival emerging through 2026. Traders assign a 97.7% probability to the "No" outcome based on this established record, the passage of over six years without verified sightings or documentation, and the absence of any confirmed leaks, forensic contradictions, or institutional disclosures that would support an alternative scenario. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include newly authenticated DNA evidence, a verified public appearance, or declassified materials from ongoing reviews, though such developments remain highly improbable given the timeline and prior scrutiny.