Pluribus secured 18 Emmy nominations for its debut season, including Outstanding Drama Series and key acting nods for Rhea Seehorn and supporting performers, driving strong trader confidence in a modest haul. Its four recent Creative Arts wins in technical categories like sound mixing, production design, and original theme music have already anchored the total, while critical praise for the Vince Gilligan sci-fi premise and Seehorn’s lead performance supports additional acting or writing recognition. However, intense competition from The Pitt in major drama categories tempers expectations of a sweep, aligning with the 70.5% market-implied probability for 2-3 total wins ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
2-3 71%
0-1 23%
4-5 3.3%
6-7 3.0%
$37,887 Vol.
$37,887 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
23%
2-3
71%
4-5
3%
6-7
3%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 71%
0-1 23%
4-5 3.3%
6-7 3.0%
$37,887 Vol.
$37,887 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
$10,704 Vol.
23%
2-3
$12,427 Vol.
71%
4-5
$8,731 Vol.
3%
6-7
$3,897 Vol.
3%
8-9
$1,310 Vol.
<1%
10+
$819 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pluribus secured 18 Emmy nominations for its debut season, including Outstanding Drama Series and key acting nods for Rhea Seehorn and supporting performers, driving strong trader confidence in a modest haul. Its four recent Creative Arts wins in technical categories like sound mixing, production design, and original theme music have already anchored the total, while critical praise for the Vince Gilligan sci-fi premise and Seehorn’s lead performance supports additional acting or writing recognition. However, intense competition from The Pitt in major drama categories tempers expectations of a sweep, aligning with the 70.5% market-implied probability for 2-3 total wins ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$37,887End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pluribus secured 18 Emmy nominations for its debut season, including Outstanding Drama Series and key acting nods for Rhea Seehorn and supporting performers, driving strong trader confidence in a modest haul. Its four recent Creative Arts wins in technical categories like sound mixing, production design, and original theme music have already anchored the total, while critical praise for the Vince Gilligan sci-fi premise and Seehorn’s lead performance supports additional acting or writing recognition. However, intense competition from The Pitt in major drama categories tempers expectations of a sweep, aligning with the 70.5% market-implied probability for 2-3 total wins ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,887End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pluribus secured 18 Emmy nominations for its debut season, including Outstanding Drama Series and key acting nods for Rhea Seehorn and supporting performers, driving strong trader confidence in a modest haul. Its four recent Creative Arts wins in technical categories like sound mixing, production design, and original theme music have already anchored the total, while critical praise for the Vince Gilligan sci-fi premise and Seehorn’s lead performance supports additional acting or writing recognition. However, intense competition from The Pitt in major drama categories tempers expectations of a sweep, aligning with the 70.5% market-implied probability for 2-3 total wins ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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