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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

John Kelly 38%

Louise Bloomfield 25%

Ryan Posselt 15%

Marti Zucco 9%

Polymarket

$11,221 Vol.

John Kelly 38%

Louise Bloomfield 25%

Ryan Posselt 15%

Marti Zucco 9%

Polymarket

$11,221 Vol.

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$4,925 Vol.

45%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$1,066 Vol.

25%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$1,822 Vol.

15%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$309 Vol.

9%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$1,737 Vol.

4%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$1,077 Vol.

2%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$286 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for Hobart's lord mayor, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, has produced a fragmented contest ahead of the October 27 local government election. Recent candidate announcements, including John Kelly in early September and others such as Charles Wooley, have added to the field of sitting councillors and independents. With no dominant frontrunner and compulsory voting in place, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty across numerous contenders. Key variables that could shift implied probabilities include primary vote shares, preference flows under the electoral system, and any late endorsements or withdrawals before polling concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$11,221
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for Hobart's lord mayor, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, has produced a fragmented contest ahead of the October 27 local government election. Recent candidate announcements, including John Kelly in early September and others such as Charles Wooley, have added to the field of sitting councillors and independents. With no dominant frontrunner and compulsory voting in place, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty across numerous contenders. Key variables that could shift implied probabilities include primary vote shares, preference flows under the electoral system, and any late endorsements or withdrawals before polling concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$11,221
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Kelly" at 45%, followed by "Louise Bloomfield" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" has generated $11.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is "John Kelly" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Louise Bloomfield" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.