Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to clear skies and light northerly winds over Busan on October 7, supporting efficient daytime heating under stable high pressure and yielding a most likely afternoon maximum near 23–24 °C. This autumnal pattern follows several days of similar dry, sunny conditions that have kept observed highs close to or slightly above seasonal normals. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and modest onshore flow that limits marine cooling, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of peak insolation can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Traders have priced 25 °C as the clear favorite at 65.5 % implied probability, reflecting modest upside bias relative to the central forecast range while assigning lower odds to 26 °C or cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of October 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.