**Current forecasts from official sources like Turkey's MGM and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23°C for Ankara on September 26, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds.** This positions the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (51.5% implied probability) and 21°C (36.0%) as the consensus range, reflecting typical late-September cooling after recent highs near 20°C on the 25th. Dry conditions and moderate solar heating during the longest daylight hours support modest afternoon warming, while stable high pressure and low humidity limit stronger rises; ensemble spreads and slight model differences (e.g., peak timing or urban heat effects) explain the smaller probabilities for 20°C or 23°C. Updated official briefings and next model runs will refine the exact peak before resolution.