The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which rejected participation in the October 11 United Left primary by 55.5% to 44.5% in favor of a separate closed process, combined with earlier refusals from La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique, has left only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! committed. Candidate withdrawals, including those of Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further narrowed the field and stalled preparations. Trader consensus on cancellation at 90.5% reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include a last-minute reversal by remaining organizers or an unexpected agreement among the participating groups before the scheduled date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanceled 90.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$226,253 Vol.
$226,253 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
91%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 90.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$226,253 Vol.
$226,253 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$90,540 Vol.
91%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which rejected participation in the October 11 United Left primary by 55.5% to 44.5% in favor of a separate closed process, combined with earlier refusals from La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique, has left only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! committed. Candidate withdrawals, including those of Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further narrowed the field and stalled preparations. Trader consensus on cancellation at 90.5% reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include a last-minute reversal by remaining organizers or an unexpected agreement among the participating groups before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$226,253End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which rejected participation in the October 11 United Left primary by 55.5% to 44.5% in favor of a separate closed process, combined with earlier refusals from La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique, has left only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! committed. Candidate withdrawals, including those of Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further narrowed the field and stalled preparations. Trader consensus on cancellation at 90.5% reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include a last-minute reversal by remaining organizers or an unexpected agreement among the participating groups before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$226,253End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which rejected participation in the October 11 United Left primary by 55.5% to 44.5% in favor of a separate closed process, combined with earlier refusals from La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and Place Publique, has left only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! committed. Candidate withdrawals, including those of Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, have further narrowed the field and stalled preparations. Trader consensus on cancellation at 90.5% reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include a last-minute reversal by remaining organizers or an unexpected agreement among the participating groups before the scheduled date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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