Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell, including an FBI civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to sexual misconduct allegations, remain active following device seizures at San Francisco airport and a home search in mid-August 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress in April amid multiple accuser reports that also prompted state-level inquiries by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been announced in any jurisdiction as of early September, and complex sexual assault cases typically require extended review of evidence, witness interviews, and prosecutorial decisions before indictments. The short window remaining until September 30 further supports trader consensus that formal charging is unlikely to occur in time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated17% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
17% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell, including an FBI civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to sexual misconduct allegations, remain active following device seizures at San Francisco airport and a home search in mid-August 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress in April amid multiple accuser reports that also prompted state-level inquiries by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been announced in any jurisdiction as of early September, and complex sexual assault cases typically require extended review of evidence, witness interviews, and prosecutorial decisions before indictments. The short window remaining until September 30 further supports trader consensus that formal charging is unlikely to occur in time.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Volume
$136End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell, including an FBI civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to sexual misconduct allegations, remain active following device seizures at San Francisco airport and a home search in mid-August 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress in April amid multiple accuser reports that also prompted state-level inquiries by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been announced in any jurisdiction as of early September, and complex sexual assault cases typically require extended review of evidence, witness interviews, and prosecutorial decisions before indictments. The short window remaining until September 30 further supports trader consensus that formal charging is unlikely to occur in time.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$136End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell, including an FBI civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to sexual misconduct allegations, remain active following device seizures at San Francisco airport and a home search in mid-August 2026. Swalwell resigned from Congress in April amid multiple accuser reports that also prompted state-level inquiries by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been announced in any jurisdiction as of early September, and complex sexual assault cases typically require extended review of evidence, witness interviews, and prosecutorial decisions before indictments. The short window remaining until September 30 further supports trader consensus that formal charging is unlikely to occur in time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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