United Russia enters the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election as the clear frontrunner, holding 11 of 15 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from its status as the federally aligned ruling party in a mixed electoral system of party-list and multi-member constituency voting. The three-day vote coincides with national legislative balloting, where administrative resources, candidate registration advantages, and historical regional dominance have kept opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia at marginal levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter seat projections. A decisive shift would require unusually strong constituency performance by systemic opposition lists or turnout patterns that materially erode United Russia’s proportional share, outcomes that remain low-probability given past results and institutional patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 97.4%
CPRF 1.1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,777 Vol.
$10,777 Vol.
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
97%
CPRF
1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 97.4%
CPRF 1.1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,777 Vol.
$10,777 Vol.
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
$5,766 Vol.
97%
CPRF
$2,049 Vol.
1%
LDPR
$807 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
New People
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia enters the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election as the clear frontrunner, holding 11 of 15 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from its status as the federally aligned ruling party in a mixed electoral system of party-list and multi-member constituency voting. The three-day vote coincides with national legislative balloting, where administrative resources, candidate registration advantages, and historical regional dominance have kept opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia at marginal levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter seat projections. A decisive shift would require unusually strong constituency performance by systemic opposition lists or turnout patterns that materially erode United Russia’s proportional share, outcomes that remain low-probability given past results and institutional patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$10,777End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia enters the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election as the clear frontrunner, holding 11 of 15 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from its status as the federally aligned ruling party in a mixed electoral system of party-list and multi-member constituency voting. The three-day vote coincides with national legislative balloting, where administrative resources, candidate registration advantages, and historical regional dominance have kept opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia at marginal levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter seat projections. A decisive shift would require unusually strong constituency performance by systemic opposition lists or turnout patterns that materially erode United Russia’s proportional share, outcomes that remain low-probability given past results and institutional patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$10,777End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia enters the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election as the clear frontrunner, holding 11 of 15 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from its status as the federally aligned ruling party in a mixed electoral system of party-list and multi-member constituency voting. The three-day vote coincides with national legislative balloting, where administrative resources, candidate registration advantages, and historical regional dominance have kept opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia at marginal levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter seat projections. A decisive shift would require unusually strong constituency performance by systemic opposition lists or turnout patterns that materially erode United Russia’s proportional share, outcomes that remain low-probability given past results and institutional patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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