United Russia holds a commanding position in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with the parallel voting system of nine proportional-representation seats and 18 single-member districts. The three-day vote, held 18–20 September 2026 alongside federal legislative contests, occurred in a political environment where registered opposition parties face high barriers and administrative resources favor the dominant actor. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural advantage and the party's consistent regional majorities, though outcomes could shift if single-member district results fragment or if post-vote verification reveals procedural disputes requiring court intervention. Resolution hinges on official confirmation of seat totals once all protocols are processed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 99.0%
LDPR <1%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
99%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 99.0%
LDPR <1%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
$3,216 Vol.
99%
LDPR
$885 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$921 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$601 Vol.
<1%
New People
$686 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$713 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$728 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with the parallel voting system of nine proportional-representation seats and 18 single-member districts. The three-day vote, held 18–20 September 2026 alongside federal legislative contests, occurred in a political environment where registered opposition parties face high barriers and administrative resources favor the dominant actor. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural advantage and the party's consistent regional majorities, though outcomes could shift if single-member district results fragment or if post-vote verification reveals procedural disputes requiring court intervention. Resolution hinges on official confirmation of seat totals once all protocols are processed.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volume
$7,749End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with the parallel voting system of nine proportional-representation seats and 18 single-member districts. The three-day vote, held 18–20 September 2026 alongside federal legislative contests, occurred in a political environment where registered opposition parties face high barriers and administrative resources favor the dominant actor. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural advantage and the party's consistent regional majorities, though outcomes could shift if single-member district results fragment or if post-vote verification reveals procedural disputes requiring court intervention. Resolution hinges on official confirmation of seat totals once all protocols are processed.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$7,749End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Amur Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with 18 of 27 seats from the prior cycle, combined with the parallel voting system of nine proportional-representation seats and 18 single-member districts. The three-day vote, held 18–20 September 2026 alongside federal legislative contests, occurred in a political environment where registered opposition parties face high barriers and administrative resources favor the dominant actor. Trader consensus at 99% reflects this structural advantage and the party's consistent regional majorities, though outcomes could shift if single-member district results fragment or if post-vote verification reveals procedural disputes requiring court intervention. Resolution hinges on official confirmation of seat totals once all protocols are processed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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