**Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi remained in his official role through late September 2026, actively conducting diplomacy at the UN General Assembly and in bilateral meetings on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and regional security.** No credible reports or official statements indicated any arrest, detention, or legal action against him by the September 28 deadline. Traders’ near-certain consensus on “No” (99.2%) reflects this absence of developments, consistent with Araghchi’s established position in the Pezeshkian administration and his continued public engagements after the 2026 Iran conflict and subsequent ceasefire talks. Historical precedent shows senior Iranian diplomats in similar roles rarely face sudden domestic arrest absent major, publicly signaled internal shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unreported internal power struggle or late-breaking judicial action, though nothing in available reporting supports such developments within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions