Recent public signals from Senator Ted Cruz, including repeated statements that he wants to be president and that the Republican Party should hold a full debate rather than coalesce early around Vice President JD Vance, have positioned him as a leading contender to announce first among major figures. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has similarly kept the door open while highlighting his record ahead of term limits, while other senators like Rand Paul weigh bids. With no top-tier announcements yet and the field expected to activate after the midterms, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over timing and positioning among several ambitious Republicans. Upcoming legislative sessions, midterm outcomes, and any exploratory moves could quickly shift probabilities by clarifying who tests the waters earliest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuál de estos republicanos será el primero en anunciar su candidatura a la presidencia?
¿Cuál de estos republicanos será el primero en anunciar su candidatura a la presidencia?
Ted Cruz 42%
Ron DeSantis 18%
Rand Paul 17.1%
J.D. Vance 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
Ted Cruz
42%
Ron DeSantis
18%
Rand Paul
17%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
12%
Donald Trump
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Ted Cruz 42%
Ron DeSantis 18%
Rand Paul 17.1%
J.D. Vance 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
Ted Cruz
$4,697 Vol.
42%
Ron DeSantis
$326 Vol.
18%
Rand Paul
$998 Vol.
17%
J.D. Vance
$404 Vol.
11%
Marco Rubio
$419 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
$166 Vol.
6%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$154 Vol.
12%
Donald Trump
$981 Vol.
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$313 Vol.
4%
Glenn Youngkin
$197 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent public signals from Senator Ted Cruz, including repeated statements that he wants to be president and that the Republican Party should hold a full debate rather than coalesce early around Vice President JD Vance, have positioned him as a leading contender to announce first among major figures. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has similarly kept the door open while highlighting his record ahead of term limits, while other senators like Rand Paul weigh bids. With no top-tier announcements yet and the field expected to activate after the midterms, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over timing and positioning among several ambitious Republicans. Upcoming legislative sessions, midterm outcomes, and any exploratory moves could quickly shift probabilities by clarifying who tests the waters earliest.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$8,653Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent public signals from Senator Ted Cruz, including repeated statements that he wants to be president and that the Republican Party should hold a full debate rather than coalesce early around Vice President JD Vance, have positioned him as a leading contender to announce first among major figures. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has similarly kept the door open while highlighting his record ahead of term limits, while other senators like Rand Paul weigh bids. With no top-tier announcements yet and the field expected to activate after the midterms, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over timing and positioning among several ambitious Republicans. Upcoming legislative sessions, midterm outcomes, and any exploratory moves could quickly shift probabilities by clarifying who tests the waters earliest.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,653Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent public signals from Senator Ted Cruz, including repeated statements that he wants to be president and that the Republican Party should hold a full debate rather than coalesce early around Vice President JD Vance, have positioned him as a leading contender to announce first among major figures. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has similarly kept the door open while highlighting his record ahead of term limits, while other senators like Rand Paul weigh bids. With no top-tier announcements yet and the field expected to activate after the midterms, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over timing and positioning among several ambitious Republicans. Upcoming legislative sessions, midterm outcomes, and any exploratory moves could quickly shift probabilities by clarifying who tests the waters earliest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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