OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an internal multi-agent system produced a Lean-formalized proof of a Navier-Stokes singularity—one of the remaining Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for further 2026 breakthroughs. This follows Anthropic’s August progress tightening bounds related to the Riemann hypothesis and OpenAI’s earlier solutions to ten longstanding open problems in geometry, group theory, and combinatorics. While frontier models now routinely exceed human performance on Olympiad and AIME benchmarks and some research-grade lemmas, genuine resolutions of deep conjectures such as P versus NP, the Hodge conjecture, or Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer still face steep barriers in conceptual novelty and verification. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and scaling of agentic workflows remain the key swing factors through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
31 dic 2026
Conjetura de Hodge
60%
Birch y Swinnerton-Dyer
56%
Problema de Hadwiger-Nelson
53%
Conjetura de la matriz de Hadamard
34%
Número perfecto impar
33%
Conjetura de Beal
28%
Conjetura de Legendre
26%
Número de Ramsey R(5,5)
25%
Conjetura de Collatz
22%
Conjetura fuerte de Goldbach
13%
Yang-Mills
12%
Conjetura de los primos gemelos
12%
Hipótesis de Riemann
10%
P versus NP
5%
$5,554 Vol.
Conjetura de Hodge
$1,211 Vol.
60%
Birch y Swinnerton-Dyer
$1,056 Vol.
56%
Problema de Hadwiger-Nelson
$48 Vol.
53%
Conjetura de la matriz de Hadamard
$62 Vol.
34%
Número perfecto impar
$28 Vol.
33%
Conjetura de Beal
$40 Vol.
28%
Conjetura de Legendre
$24 Vol.
26%
Número de Ramsey R(5,5)
$34 Vol.
25%
Conjetura de Collatz
$419 Vol.
22%
Conjetura fuerte de Goldbach
$395 Vol.
13%
Yang-Mills
$200 Vol.
12%
Conjetura de los primos gemelos
$284 Vol.
12%
Hipótesis de Riemann
$1,075 Vol.
10%
P versus NP
$679 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an internal multi-agent system produced a Lean-formalized proof of a Navier-Stokes singularity—one of the remaining Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for further 2026 breakthroughs. This follows Anthropic’s August progress tightening bounds related to the Riemann hypothesis and OpenAI’s earlier solutions to ten longstanding open problems in geometry, group theory, and combinatorics. While frontier models now routinely exceed human performance on Olympiad and AIME benchmarks and some research-grade lemmas, genuine resolutions of deep conjectures such as P versus NP, the Hodge conjecture, or Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer still face steep barriers in conceptual novelty and verification. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and scaling of agentic workflows remain the key swing factors through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volumen
$5,554Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an internal multi-agent system produced a Lean-formalized proof of a Navier-Stokes singularity—one of the remaining Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for further 2026 breakthroughs. This follows Anthropic’s August progress tightening bounds related to the Riemann hypothesis and OpenAI’s earlier solutions to ten longstanding open problems in geometry, group theory, and combinatorics. While frontier models now routinely exceed human performance on Olympiad and AIME benchmarks and some research-grade lemmas, genuine resolutions of deep conjectures such as P versus NP, the Hodge conjecture, or Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer still face steep barriers in conceptual novelty and verification. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and scaling of agentic workflows remain the key swing factors through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,554Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an internal multi-agent system produced a Lean-formalized proof of a Navier-Stokes singularity—one of the remaining Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has sharply raised trader expectations for further 2026 breakthroughs. This follows Anthropic’s August progress tightening bounds related to the Riemann hypothesis and OpenAI’s earlier solutions to ten longstanding open problems in geometry, group theory, and combinatorics. While frontier models now routinely exceed human performance on Olympiad and AIME benchmarks and some research-grade lemmas, genuine resolutions of deep conjectures such as P versus NP, the Hodge conjecture, or Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer still face steep barriers in conceptual novelty and verification. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and scaling of agentic workflows remain the key swing factors through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes