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icon for ¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

<12 61.5%

12-15 31.4%

16-19 7%

24-27 <1%

Polymarket

$124,962 Vol.

<12 61.5%

12-15 31.4%

16-19 7%

24-27 <1%

Polymarket

$124,962 Vol.

<12

$17,384 Vol.

62%

12-15

$40,164 Vol.

31%

16-19

$24,998 Vol.

7%

20-23

$16,708 Vol.

<1%

24-27

$14,029 Vol.

<1%

28-31

$6,481 Vol.

<1%

32+

$5,199 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s current footprint of roughly 15 U.S. metros with public, paid, fully driverless robotaxi service—following September 2026 launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas—underpins trader consensus that the year-end total will remain below 12 or in the low teens. Recent regulatory approvals and fleet scaling with the lower-cost Ojai/Zeekr platform have enabled incremental domestic additions, yet the pace has slowed as the company prioritizes coverage expansion and ride volume within existing geofenced areas over simultaneous new-market entries. International plans for London, Tokyo, and Singapore target 2027–2028 and fall outside the resolution window. Key near-term catalysts include pending permits in Detroit and Washington, D.C., plus any accelerated Uber-partnered rollouts, though historical timelines and remaining state-level hurdles suggest limited upside before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$124,962
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s current footprint of roughly 15 U.S. metros with public, paid, fully driverless robotaxi service—following September 2026 launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas—underpins trader consensus that the year-end total will remain below 12 or in the low teens. Recent regulatory approvals and fleet scaling with the lower-cost Ojai/Zeekr platform have enabled incremental domestic additions, yet the pace has slowed as the company prioritizes coverage expansion and ride volume within existing geofenced areas over simultaneous new-market entries. International plans for London, Tokyo, and Singapore target 2027–2028 and fall outside the resolution window. Key near-term catalysts include pending permits in Detroit and Washington, D.C., plus any accelerated Uber-partnered rollouts, though historical timelines and remaining state-level hurdles suggest limited upside before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$124,962
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<12" con 62%, seguido de "12-15" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 62¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $125K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "<12" con 62%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "12-15" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.