**Trader consensus on the "Verity" opening weekend market reflects solid but moderated expectations for the October 2 release, with the 28M+ bucket leading at 49% implied probability and the 25-28M range adding another 22%.** The Colleen Hoover adaptation’s strong brand equity—following hits like *It Ends With Us*—combined with Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power and the R-rated psychological thriller’s Halloween-adjacent timing drives the bullish sentiment. Recent tracking from Box Office Theory has narrowed to a $15-25M range with a $21M pinpoint, down from earlier $30-40M forecasts, amid competition from same-day release *Digger* and other holdovers. Presales momentum, final critic and audience reactions, and any late marketing surges remain the key swing factors ahead of the wide Amazon MGM rollout.