Jack Lowden leads trader consensus at 37.9% implied probability following recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-stars Gary Oldman and others highlighting his spy-genre experience as River Cartwright, combined with screenwriter Steven Knight confirming the role has been cast for the Denis Villeneuve-directed Bond 26. A shortlist reportedly featuring Lowden alongside Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, Paul Mescal, and surprise contender Jack Barton (11.8%) reflects producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman’s methodical search for a younger British actor, with screen tests and final decisions advancing this summer. The 17.8% on “No Bond chosen” captures uncertainty over whether an official announcement arrives before year-end, as Pascal indicated, amid high-stakes franchise reboot dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
Jack Lowden 37.9%
No se ha elegido a Bond 17.8%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$784,678 Vol.
$784,678 Vol.
Jack Lowden
38%
No se ha elegido a Bond
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
2%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Jack Lowden 37.9%
No se ha elegido a Bond 17.8%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$784,678 Vol.
$784,678 Vol.
Jack Lowden
38%
No se ha elegido a Bond
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
2%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jack Lowden leads trader consensus at 37.9% implied probability following recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-stars Gary Oldman and others highlighting his spy-genre experience as River Cartwright, combined with screenwriter Steven Knight confirming the role has been cast for the Denis Villeneuve-directed Bond 26. A shortlist reportedly featuring Lowden alongside Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, Paul Mescal, and surprise contender Jack Barton (11.8%) reflects producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman’s methodical search for a younger British actor, with screen tests and final decisions advancing this summer. The 17.8% on “No Bond chosen” captures uncertainty over whether an official announcement arrives before year-end, as Pascal indicated, amid high-stakes franchise reboot dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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