Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June 2026 GOP primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson along with a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 29-point margin for Trump in 2024. Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Moore reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could shift momentum before the November 3 general election. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary routes to altering the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Blake Moore (R)
$2,462 Vol.
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
$13,379 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June 2026 GOP primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson along with a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 29-point margin for Trump in 2024. Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Moore reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could shift momentum before the November 3 general election. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary routes to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$15,841Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June 2026 GOP primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson along with a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 29-point margin for Trump in 2024. Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Moore reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could shift momentum before the November 3 general election. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary routes to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,841Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June 2026 GOP primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson along with a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 29-point margin for Trump in 2024. Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Moore reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could shift momentum before the November 3 general election. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary routes to altering the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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