Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a strong position in the October 26 Toronto mayoral election, with prediction market traders assigning her an 87% implied probability amid a field led by city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent polling from Liaison Strategies and Ipsos shows Chow ahead by 7 to 23 points among decided voters, though her margin has narrowed from earlier surveys as affordability, housing costs, public safety, and traffic rank as top voter concerns. Bradford has gained ground in suburban areas like Etobicoke while Chow remains stronger downtown, with minor candidates such as Chris Alexander drawing limited support. The race features 53 mayoral contenders and advance voting beginning in early October, leaving room for shifts based on turnout and final campaign developments.