Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLímite de mercado de cierre de IPO de Strava
Límite de mercado de cierre de IPO de Strava
2B–3B 30%
<2 mil millones 9.7%
4B–5B 10%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones 8.3%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
10%
2B–3B
30%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
8%
4B–5B
10%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
5%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
22%
10B–15B
5%
15 mil millones+
4%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
7%
2B–3B 30%
<2 mil millones 9.7%
4B–5B 10%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones 8.3%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
$949 Vol.
10%
2B–3B
$54,521 Vol.
30%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
$27,756 Vol.
8%
4B–5B
$1,395 Vol.
10%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
$1,016 Vol.
5%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
$1,197 Vol.
22%
10B–15B
$1,748 Vol.
5%
15 mil millones+
$1,436 Vol.
4%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$739 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$90,757Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$90,757Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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