**Robert Pattinson’s star power and strong Venice buzz fueled Primetime’s $19.2 million opening weekend for A24, the distributor’s third-best ever, yet the front-loaded debut and heavy competition point to a sharp second-weekend decline.** The true-crime drama about To Catch a Predator host Chris Hansen earned solid reviews (87% on Rotten Tomatoes) and drew a heavily Gen Z audience, but its modest $15 million budget and R-rated subject matter typically produce short legs. With Avengers: Endgame Encore, Resident Evil’s second frame, and Heart of the Beast still drawing crowds, the film’s daily grosses already showed steep drops by early October, positioning the 7-9 million range as the clear market favorite at 70% implied probability while leaving room for a softer 5-7 million finish if word-of-mouth softens further.