The competitive swing character of Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District, which Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024, underpins trader positioning in this House race. Democrat Bob Brooks secured the nomination in May after a union-backed primary campaign that drew endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and national progressive figures, then outraised incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie in the second quarter while posting a polling average lead of roughly four points. Mackenzie retains a sizable cash-on-hand edge and has emphasized tax policy and attacks on his opponent at recent GOP events. With the November 3 general election still two months away and the seat viewed as a toss-up by major forecasters, market pricing reflects the narrow but consistent Democratic tilt in current indicators alongside the structural challenges of flipping an incumbent-held battleground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$29,463 Vol.
$29,463 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bob Brooks (D)
68%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
30%
$29,463 Vol.
$29,463 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bob Brooks (D)
$24,238 Vol.
68%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
$5,225 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive swing character of Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District, which Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024, underpins trader positioning in this House race. Democrat Bob Brooks secured the nomination in May after a union-backed primary campaign that drew endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and national progressive figures, then outraised incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie in the second quarter while posting a polling average lead of roughly four points. Mackenzie retains a sizable cash-on-hand edge and has emphasized tax policy and attacks on his opponent at recent GOP events. With the November 3 general election still two months away and the seat viewed as a toss-up by major forecasters, market pricing reflects the narrow but consistent Democratic tilt in current indicators alongside the structural challenges of flipping an incumbent-held battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$29,463Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive swing character of Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District, which Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024, underpins trader positioning in this House race. Democrat Bob Brooks secured the nomination in May after a union-backed primary campaign that drew endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and national progressive figures, then outraised incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie in the second quarter while posting a polling average lead of roughly four points. Mackenzie retains a sizable cash-on-hand edge and has emphasized tax policy and attacks on his opponent at recent GOP events. With the November 3 general election still two months away and the seat viewed as a toss-up by major forecasters, market pricing reflects the narrow but consistent Democratic tilt in current indicators alongside the structural challenges of flipping an incumbent-held battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,463Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive swing character of Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District, which Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024, underpins trader positioning in this House race. Democrat Bob Brooks secured the nomination in May after a union-backed primary campaign that drew endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro and national progressive figures, then outraised incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie in the second quarter while posting a polling average lead of roughly four points. Mackenzie retains a sizable cash-on-hand edge and has emphasized tax policy and attacks on his opponent at recent GOP events. With the November 3 general election still two months away and the seat viewed as a toss-up by major forecasters, market pricing reflects the narrow but consistent Democratic tilt in current indicators alongside the structural challenges of flipping an incumbent-held battleground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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