Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his prior victories, including a 2024 special election win exceeding 68 percent. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district carries a pronounced partisan tilt, rated Solid Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with Kennedy benefiting from strong name recognition, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge. Dennis Hannon advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have regularly exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns, though low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a major scandal or pronounced national partisan swing before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-26
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-26
$26,646 Vol.
$26,646 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tim Kennedy (D)
95%
Dennis Hannon (R)
3%
$26,646 Vol.
$26,646 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tim Kennedy (D)
$14,443 Vol.
95%
Dennis Hannon (R)
$12,203 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his prior victories, including a 2024 special election win exceeding 68 percent. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district carries a pronounced partisan tilt, rated Solid Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with Kennedy benefiting from strong name recognition, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge. Dennis Hannon advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have regularly exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns, though low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a major scandal or pronounced national partisan swing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$26,646Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his prior victories, including a 2024 special election win exceeding 68 percent. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district carries a pronounced partisan tilt, rated Solid Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with Kennedy benefiting from strong name recognition, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge. Dennis Hannon advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have regularly exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns, though low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a major scandal or pronounced national partisan swing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,646Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his prior victories, including a 2024 special election win exceeding 68 percent. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district carries a pronounced partisan tilt, rated Solid Democratic by outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with Kennedy benefiting from strong name recognition, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge. Dennis Hannon advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have regularly exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns, though low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a major scandal or pronounced national partisan swing before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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