Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP margins in recent statewide contests. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national shift against the GOP majority, a major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability and veterans’ issues could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
9%
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,938 Vol.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP margins in recent statewide contests. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national shift against the GOP majority, a major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability and veterans’ issues could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$20,577Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP margins in recent statewide contests. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national shift against the GOP majority, a major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability and veterans’ issues could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,577Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP margins in recent statewide contests. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national shift against the GOP majority, a major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout on affordability and veterans’ issues could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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