Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House race, with trader pricing reflecting his established name recognition, decisive June 2026 primary win, and 2024 general election victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly three points. The district's underlying dynamics favor the sitting member in a House contest, bolstered by Suozzi's record of bipartisan votes on issues such as immigration enforcement that help insulate him locally. Republican challenger Mike LiPetri secured his nomination easily but trails amid limited polling movement. Recent Republican outside spending, including multimillion-dollar attack ads from aligned super PACs, has intensified in the final weeks, yet the market consensus indicates these efforts have not materially shifted the trajectory. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm conditions, turnout patterns in Nassau County and Queens portions of the district, or unexpected campaign events could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$26,567 Vol.
$26,567 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,567 Vol.
$26,567 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,642 Vol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,925 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House race, with trader pricing reflecting his established name recognition, decisive June 2026 primary win, and 2024 general election victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly three points. The district's underlying dynamics favor the sitting member in a House contest, bolstered by Suozzi's record of bipartisan votes on issues such as immigration enforcement that help insulate him locally. Republican challenger Mike LiPetri secured his nomination easily but trails amid limited polling movement. Recent Republican outside spending, including multimillion-dollar attack ads from aligned super PACs, has intensified in the final weeks, yet the market consensus indicates these efforts have not materially shifted the trajectory. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm conditions, turnout patterns in Nassau County and Queens portions of the district, or unexpected campaign events could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$26,567Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House race, with trader pricing reflecting his established name recognition, decisive June 2026 primary win, and 2024 general election victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly three points. The district's underlying dynamics favor the sitting member in a House contest, bolstered by Suozzi's record of bipartisan votes on issues such as immigration enforcement that help insulate him locally. Republican challenger Mike LiPetri secured his nomination easily but trails amid limited polling movement. Recent Republican outside spending, including multimillion-dollar attack ads from aligned super PACs, has intensified in the final weeks, yet the market consensus indicates these efforts have not materially shifted the trajectory. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm conditions, turnout patterns in Nassau County and Queens portions of the district, or unexpected campaign events could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,567Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House race, with trader pricing reflecting his established name recognition, decisive June 2026 primary win, and 2024 general election victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly three points. The district's underlying dynamics favor the sitting member in a House contest, bolstered by Suozzi's record of bipartisan votes on issues such as immigration enforcement that help insulate him locally. Republican challenger Mike LiPetri secured his nomination easily but trails amid limited polling movement. Recent Republican outside spending, including multimillion-dollar attack ads from aligned super PACs, has intensified in the final weeks, yet the market consensus indicates these efforts have not materially shifted the trajectory. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm conditions, turnout patterns in Nassau County and Queens portions of the district, or unexpected campaign events could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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