Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains fluid as Morena holds a clear party-level advantage while its internal nomination contest and potential independent challenges keep overall probabilities tight. Recent July polls show Carlos Torres Piña leading Morena preferences ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco and Fabiola Alanís Sámano, reflecting his prior roles as secretary of government and fiscal general. Grecia Quiroz, positioned as an independent or Movimiento del Sombrero contender, narrows the gap in head-to-head scenarios, drawing support amid widespread concern over public security—the top voter issue. Traders appear to weigh Morena’s structural edge against the risk that a strong non-partisan candidate or unresolved violence could fragment the field before primaries conclude.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCarlos Torres Piña 36.6%
Raúl Morón Orozco 21.0%
Grecia Quiroz 17.1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 13.9%
$45,587 Vol.
$45,587 Vol.
Carlos Torres Piña
37%
Raúl Morón Orozco
23%
Grecia Quiroz
17%
Gladyz Butanda Macías
14%
Carlos Herrera Tello
4%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
2%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
<1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
Carlos Torres Piña 36.6%
Raúl Morón Orozco 21.0%
Grecia Quiroz 17.1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 13.9%
$45,587 Vol.
$45,587 Vol.
Carlos Torres Piña
37%
Raúl Morón Orozco
23%
Grecia Quiroz
17%
Gladyz Butanda Macías
14%
Carlos Herrera Tello
4%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
2%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
<1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains fluid as Morena holds a clear party-level advantage while its internal nomination contest and potential independent challenges keep overall probabilities tight. Recent July polls show Carlos Torres Piña leading Morena preferences ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco and Fabiola Alanís Sámano, reflecting his prior roles as secretary of government and fiscal general. Grecia Quiroz, positioned as an independent or Movimiento del Sombrero contender, narrows the gap in head-to-head scenarios, drawing support amid widespread concern over public security—the top voter issue. Traders appear to weigh Morena’s structural edge against the risk that a strong non-partisan candidate or unresolved violence could fragment the field before primaries conclude.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes