**Joseph Aoun, elected Lebanon’s president in January 2025 for a six-year term, remains firmly in office amid ongoing stabilization efforts.** He has focused on state authority over arms, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Israel, including phased withdrawals and reconstruction. Recent actions include returning legislation to parliament for review, addressing the diplomatic corps on reforms and sovereignty in early September 2026, and coordinating security responses to border incidents while urging continued international force presence. Broad parliamentary backing at his election, including cross-sectarian support, combined with active diplomacy such as his July 2026 White House meeting and Vatican engagement, has reinforced his position. No major parliamentary moves, constitutional challenges, or public statements indicate imminent removal or resignation before year-end, aligning with the 89.6% trader-implied probability against his departure by December 31.