Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96 percent, due to his strong polling lead of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million in cash on hand, and the state's consistent Democratic tilt shown by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Darren Bailey secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a solidly blue state. The most recent catalyst, President Trump's mid-September endorsement of Bailey, has drawn attention yet produced no measurable shift in polling averages or forecasts. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, significant economic downturns affecting voter sentiment, or unexpected turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas before the November 3 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
$11,266 Vol.
$11,266 Vol.
2 nov 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
96%
Darren Bailey (R)
3%
$11,266 Vol.
$11,266 Vol.
2 nov 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
$5,184 Vol.
96%
Darren Bailey (R)
$6,082 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96 percent, due to his strong polling lead of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million in cash on hand, and the state's consistent Democratic tilt shown by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Darren Bailey secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a solidly blue state. The most recent catalyst, President Trump's mid-September endorsement of Bailey, has drawn attention yet produced no measurable shift in polling averages or forecasts. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, significant economic downturns affecting voter sentiment, or unexpected turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$11,266Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96 percent, due to his strong polling lead of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million in cash on hand, and the state's consistent Democratic tilt shown by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Darren Bailey secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a solidly blue state. The most recent catalyst, President Trump's mid-September endorsement of Bailey, has drawn attention yet produced no measurable shift in polling averages or forecasts. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, significant economic downturns affecting voter sentiment, or unexpected turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$11,266Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96 percent, due to his strong polling lead of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million in cash on hand, and the state's consistent Democratic tilt shown by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Darren Bailey secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds in a solidly blue state. The most recent catalyst, President Trump's mid-September endorsement of Bailey, has drawn attention yet produced no measurable shift in polling averages or forecasts. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, significant economic downturns affecting voter sentiment, or unexpected turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas before the November 3 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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