Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
2%
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
$14,014 Vol.
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
$11,132 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$25,146Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,146Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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