Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Juliana Stratton. As lieutenant governor, she secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker, outpacing higher-profile challengers in a contest that tested party establishment influence. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where recent statewide results have favored Democrats by double digits. Limited general-election polling and subdued campaign activity reflect these fundamentals, with fundraising and organizational advantages further tilting positioning toward Stratton. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,559 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Juliana Stratton. As lieutenant governor, she secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker, outpacing higher-profile challengers in a contest that tested party establishment influence. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where recent statewide results have favored Democrats by double digits. Limited general-election polling and subdued campaign activity reflect these fundamentals, with fundraising and organizational advantages further tilting positioning toward Stratton. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$32,370Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Juliana Stratton. As lieutenant governor, she secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker, outpacing higher-profile challengers in a contest that tested party establishment influence. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where recent statewide results have favored Democrats by double digits. Limited general-election polling and subdued campaign activity reflect these fundamentals, with fundraising and organizational advantages further tilting positioning toward Stratton. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$32,370Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Juliana Stratton. As lieutenant governor, she secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker, outpacing higher-profile challengers in a contest that tested party establishment influence. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where recent statewide results have favored Democrats by double digits. Limited general-election polling and subdued campaign activity reflect these fundamentals, with fundraising and organizational advantages further tilting positioning toward Stratton. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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