Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding position in the Illinois 6th Congressional District race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, delivered Casten an eight-point victory in 2024, and he secured his party's nomination with 76 percent in the March 2026 primary. Strong fundraising, incumbency advantages, and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments favoring Republicans have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A major scandal, late Republican national wave, or substantial Conforti momentum could still alter the outcome in this low-uncertainty environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$43,100 Vol.
$43,100 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sean Casten (D)
96%
Niki Conforti (R)
2%
$43,100 Vol.
$43,100 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sean Casten (D)
$19,954 Vol.
96%
Niki Conforti (R)
$23,146 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding position in the Illinois 6th Congressional District race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, delivered Casten an eight-point victory in 2024, and he secured his party's nomination with 76 percent in the March 2026 primary. Strong fundraising, incumbency advantages, and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments favoring Republicans have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A major scandal, late Republican national wave, or substantial Conforti momentum could still alter the outcome in this low-uncertainty environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$43,100Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding position in the Illinois 6th Congressional District race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, delivered Casten an eight-point victory in 2024, and he secured his party's nomination with 76 percent in the March 2026 primary. Strong fundraising, incumbency advantages, and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments favoring Republicans have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A major scandal, late Republican national wave, or substantial Conforti momentum could still alter the outcome in this low-uncertainty environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,100Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding position in the Illinois 6th Congressional District race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, delivered Casten an eight-point victory in 2024, and he secured his party's nomination with 76 percent in the March 2026 primary. Strong fundraising, incumbency advantages, and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments favoring Republicans have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A major scandal, late Republican national wave, or substantial Conforti momentum could still alter the outcome in this low-uncertainty environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes