Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago stations, including O’Hare, recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on September 10, 2026, locking in the market’s near-100% consensus on that bin. Pre-event model guidance and local forecasts had projected highs near 80°F under partly sunny skies with moderating humidity, yet actual afternoon temperatures peaked slightly below those expectations amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 78°F for the date while remaining well below historical extremes. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-verification adjustment could realistically alter the result, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 10 de septiembre?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F o menos <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$40,174 Vol.
$40,174 Vol.
69°F o menos
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Sí
78-79°F
No
80-81 °F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o más
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F o menos <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$40,174 Vol.
$40,174 Vol.
69°F o menos
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Sí
78-79°F
No
80-81 °F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago stations, including O’Hare, recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on September 10, 2026, locking in the market’s near-100% consensus on that bin. Pre-event model guidance and local forecasts had projected highs near 80°F under partly sunny skies with moderating humidity, yet actual afternoon temperatures peaked slightly below those expectations amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 78°F for the date while remaining well below historical extremes. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-verification adjustment could realistically alter the result, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes