John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
GA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$42,199 Vol.
$42,199 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Cowan (R)
97%
Chris Harden (D)
3%
$42,199 Vol.
$42,199 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Cowan (R)
$30,544 Vol.
97%
Chris Harden (D)
$11,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$42,199Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,199Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open 11th congressional district after winning the June 2026 primary runoff, positioning him to succeed retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s R+12 partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 18.5-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.9% odds for Cowan. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2015. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late scandals affecting Cowan or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the district’s voting fundamentals make a competitive outcome unlikely before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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