Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
97% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 mar 2027
Sí
97% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 mar 2027
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$848Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Volumen
$848Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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