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icon for ¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?

¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?

icon for ¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?

¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?

82% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

82% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured an outright majority in the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District with 79.3% of the vote against two challengers, well above the 50% threshold that avoids a runoff under state rules.** The Republican primary was uncontested. The district’s strong Democratic lean—rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters—and Johnson’s prior 75.6% general-election margin in 2024 underpin trader expectations that the November 3 general-election matchup against Republican James Duffie will likewise produce a first-round majority winner without triggering Georgia’s runoff provisions. This consensus reflects the absence of competitive opposition or vote-splitting dynamics in recent cycles. Late developments that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or surprise independent/third-party entry sufficient to deny any candidate a majority, though such scenarios lack supporting evidence at present.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
Volumen
$1,536
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured an outright majority in the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District with 79.3% of the vote against two challengers, well above the 50% threshold that avoids a runoff under state rules.** The Republican primary was uncontested. The district’s strong Democratic lean—rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters—and Johnson’s prior 75.6% general-election margin in 2024 underpin trader expectations that the November 3 general-election matchup against Republican James Duffie will likewise produce a first-round majority winner without triggering Georgia’s runoff provisions. This consensus reflects the absence of competitive opposition or vote-splitting dynamics in recent cycles. Late developments that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or surprise independent/third-party entry sufficient to deny any candidate a majority, though such scenarios lack supporting evidence at present.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
Volumen
$1,536
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Ganador absoluto de la primera ronda en la elección de la Cámara por el distrito GA-04?" con 82%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 82¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?" es "¿Ganador absoluto de la primera ronda en la elección de la Cámara por el distrito GA-04?" con 82%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Ganador de la primera ronda en las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes GA-04?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.